AP® Statistics Beta

The reference sheet, explained

The exam gives you a reference sheet: the formulas below and three tables. Knowing what each formula means, and when to use it, is what earns the points. Written in our own words and layout.

Three habits that save points

I. Descriptive statistics

FormulaWhat it isWhen you use itLearn it in
x¯\bar{x}=1n∑xi= \frac{1}{n}\sum x_i=∑xin= \frac{\sum x_i}{n}The sample mean: add the values and divide by how many there are.The center of quantitative data, when the distribution is roughly symmetric with no outliers.Unit 1
Summary Statistics for One Quantitative VariablePractice it: Data explorer
sxs_x=1n−1∑(xi−x¯)2= \sqrt{\frac{1}{n - 1}\sum \left(x_i - \bar{x}\right)^2}=∑(xi−x¯)2n−1= \sqrt{\frac{\sum \left(x_i - \bar{x}\right)^2}{n - 1}}The sample standard deviation: a typical distance of the values from their mean. Note n−1n - 1, not nn.The spread of quantitative data, alongside the mean.Unit 1
Summary Statistics for One Quantitative VariablePractice it: Data explorer
y^=a+bx\hat{y} = a + bxA regression line: aa is the intercept and bb the slope; y^\hat{y} is a predicted value of the response.Predicting the response from the explanatory variable, inside the range of the data.Unit 5
Linear Regression ModelsPractice it: Regression lab

II. Probability and distributions

FormulaWhat it isWhen you use itLearn it in
P(A∪B)P(A \cup B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)= P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)The addition rule: the probability that A or B (or both) happens.Any "or" probability; subtract the overlap so it is not counted twice.Unit 2
Independent Events and Unions of EventsPractice it: Probability trees
P(A|B)=P(A∩B)P(B)P(A \mid B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}Conditional probability: the probability of A given that B happened.A "given" probability, often from one row or column of a two-way table.Unit 2
Conditional ProbabilityPractice it: Probability trees
μX\mu_X=E(X)= E(X)=∑xi⋅P(xi)= \sum x_i \cdot P(x_i)The mean (expected value) of a discrete random variable: each value weighted by its probability.The long-run average value of a random variable.Unit 2
Parameters of Random Variables
σX\sigma_X=∑(xi−μX)2⋅P(xi)= \sqrt{\sum \left(x_i - \mu_X\right)^2 \cdot P(x_i)}The standard deviation of a discrete random variable.How much the random variable typically varies from its mean.Unit 2
Parameters of Random Variables
P(X=x)P(X = x)=(nx)px(1−p)n−x= \binom{n}{x} p^x (1 - p)^{n - x}The binomial probability of exactly xx successes in nn independent trials with success probability pp, for x=0,1,2,…,nx = 0, 1, 2, \ldots, n.A count of successes in a binomial setting. Name the distribution and its nn and pp first.Unit 2
The Binomial DistributionPractice it: Distribution areas
μX\mu_X=np,= np,σX\quad \sigma_X=np(1−p)= \sqrt{np(1 - p)}The mean and standard deviation of a binomial random variable.The center and spread of a binomial count, without listing the whole distribution.Unit 2
The Binomial DistributionPractice it: Distribution areas

III. Sampling distributions and inferential statistics

FormulaWhat it isWhen you use itLearn it in
standardized test statistic\text{standardized test statistic}=statistic−parameterstandard error of the statistic= \frac{\text{statistic} - \text{parameter}}{\text{standard error of the statistic}}The shape of every z and t test statistic in the course. In a test, the parameter is its null value.Any significance test: write the general form, then substitute.Unit 3
Carrying Out a Test for a Population ProportionPractice it: p-value explorer
statistic\text{statistic}±(critical value)\pm (\text{critical value})(standard error of the statistic)(\text{standard error of the statistic})The shape of every confidence interval in the course. The product is the margin of error.Any confidence interval: name the procedure, then substitute.Unit 3
Constructing a Confidence Interval for a Population ProportionPractice it: Interval capture
χ2\chi^2=∑(observed−expected)2expected= \sum \frac{(\text{observed} - \text{expected})^2}{\text{expected}}The chi-square statistic, summed over every cell of a two-way table.Tests for homogeneity or independence. Expected count = row total times column total over the table total.Unit 3
Carrying Out a Chi-Square Test for Homogeneity or IndependencePractice it: Chi-square lab

III (continued). Sampling distributions for proportions

FormulaWhat it isWhen you use itLearn it in
μp^\mu_{\hat{p}}=p,= p,σp^\quad \sigma_{\hat{p}}=p(1−p)n= \sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}}The center and spread of the sampling distribution of a sample proportion.Probabilities about p^\hat{p} when pp is known, and in a test, where pp is the null value p0p_0.Unit 3
Sampling Distributions for Sample ProportionsPractice it: Sampling distributions
SEp^\text{SE}_{\hat{p}}=p^(1−p^)n= \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1 - \hat{p})}{n}}The standard error: the same formula with p^\hat{p} in place of the unknown pp.A one-proportion confidence interval (a test uses p0p_0 instead).Unit 3
Constructing a Confidence Interval for a Population ProportionPractice it: Interval capture
μp^1−p^2\mu_{\hat{p}_1 - \hat{p}_2}=p1−p2,= p_1 - p_2,σp^1−p^2\quad \sigma_{\hat{p}_1 - \hat{p}_2}=p1(1−p1)n1+p2(1−p2)n2= \sqrt{\frac{p_1(1 - p_1)}{n_1} + \frac{p_2(1 - p_2)}{n_2}}The center and spread of the sampling distribution of the difference of two independent sample proportions.Probabilities about a difference of sample proportions.Unit 3
Sampling Distributions for the Difference Between Sample ProportionsPractice it: Sampling distributions
SEp^1−p^2\text{SE}_{\hat{p}_1 - \hat{p}_2}=p^1(1−p^1)n1+p^2(1−p^2)n2= \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}_1(1 - \hat{p}_1)}{n_1} + \frac{\hat{p}_2(1 - \hat{p}_2)}{n_2}}The standard error of a difference of sample proportions.A two-proportion confidence interval.Unit 3
Constructing a Confidence Interval for the Difference Between Two Population ProportionsPractice it: Interval capture
SE\text{SE}=pc(1−pc)(1n1+1n2),= \sqrt{p_c(1 - p_c)\left(\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}\right)},pc\quad p_c=n1p^1+n2p^2n1+n2= \frac{n_1\hat{p}_1 + n_2\hat{p}_2}{n_1 + n_2}The standard error when p1=p2p_1 = p_2 is assumed, with pcp_c the combined proportion of successes in both samples.A two-proportion test, where the null hypothesis says p1=p2p_1 = p_2.Unit 3
Setting Up a Test for the Difference Between Two Population ProportionsPractice it: p-value explorer

III (continued). Sampling distributions for means

FormulaWhat it isWhen you use itLearn it in
μx¯\mu_{\bar{x}}=μ,= \mu,σx¯\quad \sigma_{\bar{x}}=σn= \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}The center and spread of the sampling distribution of a sample mean.Probabilities about x¯\bar{x} when μ\mu and σ\sigma are known.Unit 4
Sampling Distributions for Sample MeansPractice it: Sampling distributions
SEx¯=sn\text{SE}_{\bar{x}} = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}The standard error of a sample mean, with ss in place of the unknown σ\sigma.One-sample and paired t intervals and tests (for paired data, ss is the SD of the differences).Unit 4
Constructing a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference
μx¯1−x¯2\mu_{\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2}=μ1−μ2,= \mu_1 - \mu_2,σx¯1−x¯2\quad \sigma_{\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2}=σ12n1+σ22n2= \sqrt{\frac{\sigma_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{n_2}}The center and spread of the sampling distribution of the difference of two independent sample means.Probabilities about a difference of sample means.Unit 4
Sampling Distributions for the Difference Between Two Sample MeansPractice it: Sampling distributions
SEx¯1−x¯2\text{SE}_{\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2}=s12n1+s22n2= \sqrt{\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2}}The standard error of a difference of sample means. It is never pooled.Two-sample t intervals and tests.Unit 4
Constructing a Confidence Interval for the Difference Between Two Population Means

Reading the tables

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